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Authors @ Company with Annie Duke
Annie Duke is an experienced corporate speaker & consultant on the behavior of decision making. In 2018, Annie's first book for general audiences, Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts was released by Portfolio, an imprint of Penguin Random House. It quickly became a national bestseller.
As a former professional poker player, she won more than $4 million in tournament poker. She has won a World Series of Poker bracelet, the World Series of Poker Tournament of Champions, & the NBC National Poker Heads-Up Championship. She has written five books, raised four children & raised more than $18 million for charities. Annie is a cofounder of HowIDecide.org, a member of the National Board of After-School All-Stars & a member of the NationSwell Council. In 2016 she joined the board of directors of the Franklin Institute, one of America's oldest & greatest museums. She has also won a televised championship in rock-paper-scissors.
Thinking In Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All The Facts
In Super Bowl XLIX, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll made one of the most controversial calls in football history: With 26 seconds remaining, & trailing by four at the Patriots' one-yard line, he called for a pass instead of a hand off to his star running back. The pass was intercepted & the Seahawks lost. Critics called it the dumbest play in history. But was the call really that bad? Or did Carroll actually make a great move that was ruined by bad luck?
Even the best decision doesn't yield the best outcome every time. There's always an element of luck that you can't control, & there is always information that is hidden from view. So the key to long-term success (and avoiding worrying yourself to death) is to think in bets: How sure am I? What are the possible ways things could turn out? What decision has the highest odds of success? Did I land in the unlucky 10% on the strategy that works 90% of the time? Or is my success attributable to dumb luck rather than great decision making?
Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, draws on examples from business, sports, politics, & (of course) poker to share tools anyone can use to embrace uncertainty & make better decisions. For most people, it's difficult to say "I'm not sure" in a world that values and, even, rewards the appearance of certainty. But professional poker players are comfortable with the fact that great decisions don't always lead to great outcomes & bad decisions don't always lead to bad outcomes.
By shifting your thinking from a need for certainty to a goal of accurately assessing what you know & what you don't, you'll be less vulnerable to reactive emotions, knee-jerk biases, & destructive habits in your decision making. You'll become more confident, calm, compassionate & successful in the long run.
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